Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1369.605030 1562.060750 1777.326108 2036.957178 2342.935375 2693.677516 3128.466843
2025-08-17 1097.391207 1353.999723 1669.468365 2090.169212 2643.061809 3354.136651 4352.984357
2025-08-24 944.762713 1226.898910 1596.057089 2123.041830 2870.254216 3914.007999 5522.934018
2025-08-31 834.593484 1128.127232 1531.590344 2140.031877 3058.358432 4433.515055 6730.710209
2025-09-07 759.058620 1061.764199 1495.875238 2182.766476 3278.870751 5027.375031 8175.355565
2025-09-14 670.480101 963.498954 1398.106584 2112.877405 3306.509471 5313.226514 9163.056379
2025-09-21 598.965517 881.230313 1312.445410 2046.393806 3323.191636 5575.100876 10158.356514
2025-09-28 536.868980 806.210698 1228.455804 1969.253346 3305.902670 5767.936963 11059.361323
2025-10-05 514.109177 790.226472 1236.076929 2046.162517 3571.574159 6529.601853 13319.142008
2025-10-12 486.107985 762.547317 1220.655265 2079.280170 3759.269800 7173.347346 15503.292531
2025-10-19 458.137840 732.002566 1196.661184 2092.705446 3909.251050 7766.785600 17744.533918
2025-10-26 432.624655 703.146532 1172.336966 2101.690280 4050.443948 8367.757575 20192.475270
2025-11-02 417.087569 690.857890 1177.457004 2170.759171 4335.012844 9369.287284 24115.157128
2025-11-09 401.067182 676.310387 1177.028188 2229.045391 4607.888648 10412.569152 28598.005678
2025-11-16 383.653609 657.542927 1166.474174 2264.493706 4834.532657 11395.129044 33322.197598
2025-11-23 365.835729 636.417823 1149.116796 2282.840549 5023.681111 12326.440437 38310.845427
2025-11-30 352.536774 622.652436 1144.779074 2328.992534 5289.782480 13542.432708 44948.323183
2025-12-07 328.048911 585.406824 1089.689942 2253.521431 5231.898543 13799.904573 48005.656059
2025-12-14 306.089850 551.543425 1038.713450 2181.761463 5172.674967 14042.395313 51148.676583
2025-12-21 284.901729 517.790554 985.317505 2098.541152 5070.066495 14128.100706 53683.351799
2025-12-28 280.109077 516.505069 1000.307579 2181.511876 5444.209954 15875.980786 65015.356196
2026-01-04 271.511631 506.812863 996.308038 2217.253646 5690.617916 17268.459834 75619.420750
2026-01-11 261.771728 494.052170 984.460566 2231.745046 5877.374697 18508.966372 86379.243459